The non-Parliamentary opposition are preparing for a hot autumn. Their leaders assure us that they will resume their fight with new force from September. A new and large opposition movement is to be formed, and consultation on this issue has already taken place.
GT has discovered that the Conservative Party has initiated this move. Kakha Kukava has confirmed that consultations are underway but has not given specific details. He says that there are two basic conceptions being discussed. Some parties think that political pluralism must exist even in the present conditions and opposition parties should form blocs and alliances under different titles, “but we in the Conservative Party and several of our partners think this would be disastrous. Forming separate bodies means strengthening Saakashvili’s Government. I have no evidence, but I think that in some cases such unions are being directly inspired by the Government,” says Kukava. He reckons that the opposition only has a chance of being successful “If the whole National Liberation Movement is united in one structure.”
Manana Nachkebia, a leader of the New Rights and member of the Alliance for Georgia, says that consultations and preparations for autumn have been launched but a plan has not yet been finalised and agreed. She added that opposition rallies would not be the same as they were in spring and they would also use other tools. “Consultations are underway at this stage. It is not excluded that some regrouping will occur. The four months of battle so far have shown us that something different is required. It is possible that the oppositional battle will be conducted with new methods, but its aim, the democratisation of the country, is unchanged,” she says.
Nachkebia adds that the main demand of the opposition - early Presidential and Parliamentary elections - will also remain the same. “We still consider that the most serious danger for the country is Saakashvili’s autocratic regime,” she says.
The National Forum does not plan to change tactics at this stage. It will continue meeting people in the regions as it has done all summer. Currently it is meeting the inhabitants of Shida and Kvemo Kartli. It says it is not discussing creating a new alliance with anyone, including Irakli Alasania. As for a new wave of protests, the Forum says it will respond accordingly to developments in the country.
Eka Beselia, one of the leaders of the Movement for United Georgia, says that “The demand which we made two years ago, that the regime must be changed, is the same. Now our conversation is about strategy and means of battle. We will announce our plans and strategy in the second half of September and which political forces will be with us,” she says.
Although the opposition hope we will have a hot autumn, it is difficult to say how much the political temperature will increase, as the leaders of different political forces will not say what their plans are and admit that they have not yet devised a united action plan.